Page 24 - 1990(3) Cesus Of Agriculture, provience report-Punjab
P. 24

number  of  households  according  to                 ting  very  small  probabiljties  were
           1981  Population  Census.                             merged  together  and  treated  as  one
                                                                 mouza  for  sampling  purposes.
                  FIRST      STAGE       SELECTION        OF
           PATWAR      CIRCLES:       The     nµmber      of            THIRD      STAGE       SELECTION       OF
           patwar  circles  to  be  selected  from               CLUSTERS      OF    HOUSEHOLDS:        A  sys-
           each  sub-division  _was  determined                  tematic  selection  of  clusters  of
           keeping      in  view  the  number             of     nearly  30  households  each  was  made
           enumerators          which        could        be     with  equal  probability  from  all  the
           effecti~ely  trained  and  properly                   selected  mouzas  with  the  help  of
           supervised           besides         inherent         the  list  of  households.  The  number
           variance       of    the     population        in     of  clusters  to  be  selected,  with  a
           respect  of  items  under  study.  The                minimum  of  two,  was  determined  with
           patwar  circles  falling  · in  various               regard  to  the  raising  factor  ot
           kanungo  circles  were  arranged  by                  mouza  and  the  pre-fixed  overall
           their  cultivated  area  within  the                  raising  factors  at  cluster  level,
           respective  kanungo  circles.  Each                   for  a  parti9ular  area.  The  limit  of
           patwar       circle        was      given       a     overall  raising  factor  wa~  fixed  at
           probability  proportional              to    its      18  for  rural  settled  areas  of  NWFP,
           measure  of  size  in  the  sub-division              Sindh  and  Balochistan  and  at  24  for
           multiplied  by  the  number  6f  patwar               those  of  the  Punjab.  In  exceptional
           circles  t.o  be  selected  therefrom.                cases  like  big  cities  of  Lahore  and
           Patwar         circles         getting          a     Karachi,  the  limit  was  allowed  to
           probability  of  0:9  or  more  were                  go  upto  34  and  40  respectively.            ,
           s~lected  with  certainty  and  sifted
           out  from  the  list.  The  remaining                        In  this  manner  1. 14  million
           non-certainty  patwar  circles  were                  households  representing  roughly  9
           re-assigned         a     probability          by     percent  of  the  total  households
           repeating        the     above       mentioned        were  selected  for  enumeration.  They _
           process.  Cumulative  probability was                 included:                             ·
           worked  out  and  shown  against  each                     r
           patwar  circle  in  a  sub-di vision.                 i)    The  households  contained  in the
           For  the . first  sub-di vision  to  be                     selected  clusters.
           sampled,  a  random  number  over  zero .
           and  upto  o. 999  was  se·lected.  The               ii)  The  households  located  in  the
           first  patwar  circle with  cumulative                      selected  urban  w~rds~
           probability  equal  to  or  greater
           than  the ·  random  number  , was  thus              iii) The  households  located  in  the
           selected.  Simi,larly ,- random  number                     selected  mouzas  designated  as
          ·plus  1  ( one)  selected  the  second                      Mouza  Certainty  Holdings;
           patwar  circle,  random  number  plus  2
           (two)  selected  the  third  and  so  on              iv)  The      households        located .  any
           until  the  allocated  number  of  pat-                     where  in  the  country  included
           war  circles  was  selected.                                 in  the  list  of  National  Cer-
                                                                       tainty  Holdings.
                  SECOND      STAGE      SELECTION        OF
           MOUZAS:     It  was  decided  to  select                    The     procedure        adopted       for
           two    mouzas      per  selected  patwar              selection  of  sample,  involved  sub-
           circle.  Mouzas  falling  in  certainty               stantial  calculation  worl.  It  was
           and  selected  patwar  circles  were                  feared  that . while  • the  design  was
           arranged  by  their  cultivated  area                 effective  in  red~cing  sampling  er-
           within  respective  pat war · circles.                rors,  its  implementation  might  in-
           The  method  employed  in  the  f trs.t               troduce  considerable  non-sam~ling
           stage  was  repeated  at  patwar  circle              errors.  The  use  of  electronic  com-
           level ' for  se_gregating  the  certainty             puter  for  the  first  and  second
           mouzas  and  the  selection  of  non-                 stage  selections  and  working  out
           certainty  mouzas.  The  mouzas  get-                 feasible  sampling  fractions  for  the




                                                          (xxii)
   19   20   21   22   23   24   25   26   27   28   29